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            Abstract. Dimethyl sulfide (DMS) is primarily emitted by marine phytoplankton and oxidized in the atmosphere to form methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and sulfate aerosols. Ice cores in regions affected by anthropogenic pollution show an industrial-era decline in MSA, which has previously been interpreted as indicating a decline in phytoplankton abundance. However, a simultaneous increase in DMS-derived sulfate (bioSO4) in a Greenland ice core suggests that pollution-driven oxidant changes caused the decline in MSA by influencing the relative production of MSA versus bioSO4. Here we use GEOS-Chem, a global chemical transport model, and a zero-dimensional box model over three time periods (preindustrial era, peak North Atlantic NOx pollution, and 21st century) to investigate the chemical drivers of industrial-era changes in MSA and bioSO4, and we examine whether four DMS oxidation mechanisms reproduce trends and seasonality in observations. We find that box model and GEOS-Chem simulations can only partially reproduce ice core trends in MSA and bioSO4 and that wide variation in model results reflects sensitivity to DMS oxidation mechanism and oxidant concentrations. Our simulations support the hypothesized increase in DMS oxidation by the nitrate radical over the industrial era, which increases bioSO4 production, but competing factors such as oxidation by BrO result in increased MSA production in some simulations, which is inconsistent with observations. To improve understanding of DMS oxidation, future work should investigate aqueous-phase chemistry, which produces 82 %–99 % of MSA and bioSO4 in our simulations, and constrain atmospheric oxidant concentrations, including the nitrate radical, hydroxyl radical, and reactive halogens.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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            An industrial-era drop in Greenland ice core methanesulfonic acid (MSA) is thought to herald a collapse in North Atlantic marine phytoplankton stocks related to a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. In contrast, stable levels of marine biogenic sulfur production contradict this interpretation and point to changes in atmospheric oxidation as a potential cause of the MSA decline. However, the impact of oxidation on MSA production has not been quantified, nor has this hypothesis been rigorously tested. Here we present a multi-century MSA record from the Denali, Alaska, ice core, which shows an MSA decline similar in magnitude but delayed by 93 years relative to the Greenland record. Box model results using updated chemical pathways indicate that oxidation by industrial nitrate radicals has suppressed atmospheric MSA production, explaining most of Denali’s and Greenland’s MSA declines without requiring a change in phytoplankton production. The delayed timing of the North Pacific MSA decline, relative to the North Atlantic, reflects the distinct history of industrialization in upwind regions and is consistent with the Denali and Greenland ice core nitrate records. These results demonstrate that multi-decadal trends in industrial-era Arctic ice core MSA reflect rising anthropogenic pollution rather than declining marine primary production.more » « less
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            This dataset provides annual measurements of methanesulfonic acid (MSA) in Summit, Greenland ice core samples collected at variable resolution from 1200 to 2006. The abstract for the paper on these measurements is pasted below. The other measurements referenced in this abstract are published in Jongebloed et al. (2023) GRL, Jongebloed et al. (2023) ERL, and available in the Arctic Data Center (doi:10.18739/A26T0GX7K and doi:10.18739/A2N873162) Abstract: Marine phytoplankton are primary producers in ocean ecosystems and emit dimethyl sulfide (DMS) to the atmosphere. DMS emissions are the largest biological source of atmospheric sulfur and are one of the largest uncertainties in global climate modeling. DMS is oxidized to methanesulfonic acid (MSA), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and hydroperoxymethyl thioformate (HPMTF), all of which can be oxidized to sulfate. Ice core records of MSA are used to investigate past DMS emissions but rely on the implicit assumption that the relative yield of oxidation products from DMS remains constant. However, this assumption is uncertain because there are no long-term records that compare MSA to other DMS oxidation products. Here we share the first long-term record of both MSA and DMS-derived biogenic sulfate concentration in Greenland ice core samples from 1200 to 2006 CE. While MSA declines on average by 0.2 µg S kg-1 over the industrial era, biogenic sulfate from DMS increases by 0.8 µg S kg-1. This increasing biogenic sulfate contradicts previous assertions of declining North Atlantic primary productivity inferred from decreasing MSA concentrations in Greenland ice cores over the industrial era. The changing ratio of MSA to biogenic sulfate suggests that trends in MSA could be caused by time-varying atmospheric chemistry, and that MSA concentrations alone should not be used to infer past primary productivity.more » « less
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            Marine phytoplankton are primary producers in ocean ecosystems and emit dimethyl sulfide (DMS) into the atmosphere. DMS emissions are the largest biological source of atmospheric sulfur and are one of the largest uncertainties in global climate modeling. DMS is oxidized to methanesulfonic acid (MSA), sulfur dioxide, and hydroperoxymethyl thioformate, all of which can be oxidized to sulfate. Ice core records of MSA are used to investigate past DMS emissions but rely on the implicit assumption that the relative yield of oxidation products from DMS remains constant. However, this assumption is uncertain because there are no long-term records that compare MSA to other DMS oxidation products. Here, we share the first long-term record of both MSA and DMS-derived biogenic sulfate concentration in Greenland ice core samples from 1200 to 2006 CE. While MSA declines on average by 0.2 µg S kg–1over the industrial era, biogenic sulfate from DMS increases by 0.8 µg S kg–1. This increasing biogenic sulfate contradicts previous assertions of declining North Atlantic primary productivity inferred from decreasing MSA concentrations in Greenland ice cores over the industrial era. The changing ratio of MSA to biogenic sulfate suggests that trends in MSA could be caused by time-varying atmospheric chemistry and that MSA concentrations alone should not be used to infer past primary productivity.more » « less
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            Anthropogenic sulfate aerosols are estimated to have offset sixty percent of greenhouse-gas-induced warming in the Arctic, a region warming four times faster than the rest of the world. However, sulfate radiative forcing estimates remain uncertain because the relative contributions from anthropogenic versus natural sources to total sulfate aerosols are unknown. Here we measure sulfur isotopes of sulfate in a Summit, Greenland ice core from 1850 to 2006 CE to quantify the contribution of anthropogenic sulfur emissions to ice core sulfate. We use a Keeling Plot to determine the anthropogenic sulfur isotopic signature (δ34Santhro = +2.9  0.3 ‰), and compare this result to a compilation of sulfur isotope measurements of oil and coal. Using δ34Santhro, we quantify anthropogenic sulfate concentration separated from natural sulfate. Anthropogenic sulfate concentration increases to 68 ± 7% of non-sea-salt sulfate (65.1 ± 20.2 µg kg-1) during peak anthropogenic emissions from 1960 to 1990 and decreases to 45 ± 11% of non-sea-salt sulfate (25.4 ± 12.8 µg kg-1) from 1996 to 2006. These observations provide the first long-term record of anthropogenic sulfate distinguished from natural sources (e.g., volcanoes, dimethyl sulfide), and can be used to evaluate model characterization of anthropogenic sulfate aerosol fraction and radiative forcing over the industrial era. These data include sulfur isotopes of sulfate measurements from a Greenland ice core from 1850-2006. The preindustrial dataset (1200-1850) is uploaded to the Arctic data center here: doi:10.18739/A2N873162more » « less
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            The Arctic is warming at almost four times the global rate. Cooling caused by anthropogenic aerosols has been estimated to offset sixty percent of greenhouse-gas-induced Arctic warming, but the contribution of aerosols to radiative forcing (RF) represents the largest uncertainty in estimating total RF, largely due to unknown preindustrial aerosol abundance. Here, sulfur isotope measurements in a Greenland ice core show that passive volcanic degassing contributes up to 66 ± 10% of preindustrial ice core sulfate in years without major eruptions. A state-of-the-art model indicates passive volcanic sulfur emissions influencing the Arctic are underestimated by up to a factor of three, possibly because many volcanic inventories do not include hydrogen sulfide emissions. Higher preindustrial volcanic sulfur emissions reduce modeled anthropogenic Arctic aerosol cooling by up to a factor of two (+0.11 to +0.29 W m-2 (watts per square meter)), suggesting that underestimating passive volcanic sulfur emissions has significant implications for anthropogenic-induced Arctic climate change. These data include sulfur isotopes of sulfate measurements from a Greenland ice core and volcanic gas measurements (CO2:S (carbon dioxide:sulfur) ratios) from various volcanoes and hot springs in Iceland.more » « less
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